NWS UPDATE: Scattered storms possible Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday

From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Tuesday, 13 August 2019 9:27 CDT

Bottom Line
Isolated storms this afternoon north of I-20, a few may produce damaging wind gusts. More storms are expected overnight with severe weather being unlikely.

Overview
A weak cold front will be a focus for isolated thunderstorms this afternoon, mainly north of I-20. A few storms may produce damaging downburst wind gusts. A lull in activity is possible this evening as we lose surface heating, but storms will increase late tonight as an upper level disturbance moves in from the northwest. Overnight storms will be more numerous but should be less intense, though frequent lightning and brief heavy rain will be possible. A few showers and storms may linger on Wednesday with one-or-two strong storms possible.

Areas of Concern
Concern

Wednesday
Concern:Wednesday

Threats/Hazardous Weather Types
Threats

Forecaster Confidence
Confidence

General Timing
Timing

What We Are Certain Of:

  • A weak front will cross the Red River this afternoon.
  • Due to the hot and unstable air in place, any storms that develop will have the potential for producing damaging wind gusts.

What We Are Less Certain Of:

  • How much coverage we get this afternoon. The lack of upper level support may limit development. However, coverage may become higher than expected depending on mesoscale processes such as outflow mergers.

FAQ

Will this be like the other high wind events over the past couple of weeks? No two weather events are identical, and direct comparisons should generally be avoided. There will be a threat for damaging winds with this system.

Is there a tornado risk? The environment is unfavorable for tornadoes, so the tornado threat will be low.

Is there a threat for flooding? Localized minor flooding is possible, mainly overnight.

Is it possible that I don’t see any storms in my area? Yes, especially this afternoon. Better rain chances will occur overnight.

When will the next email update be sent? This is the only email for this event.

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